Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 5.024124 5.765532 6.543042 7.415994 8.365580 9.364153 10.490495
2024-12-22 3.941086 4.980174 6.138410 7.511608 9.081753 10.808208 12.837037
2024-12-29 3.326222 4.582747 6.059874 7.892172 10.072027 12.552075 15.556141
2025-01-05 2.827627 4.227658 5.956121 8.187511 10.933296 14.146391 18.134293
2025-01-12 2.374308 3.849822 5.759857 8.318908 11.565055 15.458549 20.392815
2025-01-19 1.941945 3.427657 5.446051 8.250590 11.912539 16.406558 22.211113
2025-01-26 1.667509 3.180183 5.325370 8.400702 12.514353 17.658083 24.403935
2025-02-02 1.436775 2.959063 5.209591 8.531899 13.075207 18.852516 26.532315
2025-02-09 1.166323 2.630548 4.901426 8.364922 13.216334 19.497017 27.965332
2025-02-16 0.942638 2.339038 4.613147 8.194718 13.328371 20.087616 29.322139
2025-02-23 0.793824 2.151802 4.462624 8.204987 13.675032 20.979467 31.067960
2025-03-02 0.649494 1.944281 4.255582 8.110507 13.859917 21.648195 32.523116
2025-03-09 0.590252 1.900467 4.320607 8.440306 14.669589 23.189540 35.172938
2025-03-16 0.495807 1.762553 4.210541 8.488548 15.070522 24.181790 37.112846
2025-03-23 0.458516 1.746185 4.311872 8.873920 15.972467 25.874983 40.009887
2025-03-30 0.415070 1.706010 4.364739 9.179780 16.760781 27.421286 42.728347
2025-04-06 0.357746 1.617213 4.317390 9.314961 17.292325 28.614472 44.982289
2025-04-13 0.287952 1.474484 4.150688 9.237789 17.493863 29.341532 46.607124
2025-04-20 0.248986 1.408178 4.126715 9.398307 18.058697 30.586610 48.949595
2025-04-27 0.213667 1.341732 4.094474 9.539155 18.591335 31.788346 51.240524
2025-05-04 0.162336 1.200260 3.887863 9.358477 18.609800 32.245957 52.503308
2025-05-11 0.120621 1.070256 3.688060 9.174434 18.611062 32.671434 53.719155
2025-05-18 0.095720 0.993775 3.598812 9.185439 18.921395 33.548197 55.571288